There is a much easier way, and I am surprised that no one has mentioned it yet: do DCA and forget about the noise. Acting contrary to the masses is, in principle, smarter than buying at highs and selling out of fear when prices fall. But if you try to do the opposite, you are 'timing the market instead of time in the market'. You can do that with premium assets. If you believe that bitcoin is one and that, due to its limited supply and other properties, it will continue to appreciate over time, it is best to forget about the price and what the masses are doing, and make regular purchases.