FanDuel has it -142/+112. There is only one other fight on their sportsbook with closer odds. I’m not saying it’s a 50-50 fight, but Smith looks like a live underdog.
I’m leaning towards Matias keeping his title. Smith has a path to victory if he doesn’t break under pressure, but Matias has a very imposing style and will have the audience’s support. If it’s close, the judges will give it to Matias.