all prices and predictions are valid (using some models and taking in account a gaussian distribution).
This can't be enough to have "a result". It's a guess game. There are many factors that could change dramaticaly the price (imagine Covid).
Did you trust the network? Did you trust the reason why bitcoin is superior to cash?
Hence value in Fiat cash has not sense at all.
I totally agree with this. It's not enough reason to speculate that the 2026 price might follow same history of bear point. Owing to the fact that we have been through many recession during these periods, price tends to react to them.
Also of we take a good look at the rate of bitcoin adoption compared to those times you will understand why we shouldn't focus more on those old price speculations. We currently have a lot of external forces that would be very much interested in bitcoins price..these institutional giants and nation states, create a Liquidity Wall that simply didn't exist in previous cycles.they have enough liquidity to drive the market above certain level of price and might just do anything within their worth to keep it up..
If you hold Bitcoin because you trust the scarcity and the censorship resistance of the network, then short term volatility in Fiat terms is just noise for you..