Re: What will be the result of the BTC fourth bear year (2026) ?
by on 14/12/2025, 15:06:41 UTC
all prices and predictions are valid (using some models and taking in account a gaussian distribution).
This can't be enough to have "a result". It's a guess game. There are many factors that could change dramaticaly the price (imagine Covid).
Did you trust the network? Did you trust the reason why bitcoin is superior to cash?
Hence value in Fiat cash has not sense at all.
I totally agree with this. It's not enough reason to speculate that the 2026 price might follow same history of bear point. Owing to the fact that we have been through many recession during these periods, price tends to react to them.This can't be enough to have "a result". It's a guess game. There are many factors that could change dramaticaly the price (imagine Covid).
Did you trust the network? Did you trust the reason why bitcoin is superior to cash?
Hence value in Fiat cash has not sense at all.
I have reached the point where I wonder if the price in the coming years will be completely different from what we might expect. In other words, not only could the OP be wrong and the year turn out to be positive, but perhaps the total increase for the year will be small, around 10% or so. With the large market cap that Bitcoin already has and with so many institutional players, I would not rule out some price manipulation, which they say has happened with gold at times, and therefore that the price movement will change from what we can expect looking at the past.